Memphis Grizzlies vs. Oklahoma City Thunder: Game Preview

Ibaka vs. Z-Bo will be fun to watch. - USA TODAY Sports

With Big Spain's return seemingly imminent and the Grizzlies playing some darn good basketball of late, all important momentum is beginning to swing in the Grizzlies favor. Tonight, they will face a familiar foe in the friendly confines of the Grindhouse in the Oklahoma City Thunder. Regardless of the health of Kevin Durant, this Thunder team is well coached and will fight to the end. How can Memphis exploit the weakened Thunder and continue their winning ways?

2013/2014 NBA Season
vs
17-19 (9-12 home)
Won 2
28-9 (12-6 road)
Won 1
January 14th, 2014
FedexForum in Memphis, TN
7:00 PM CDT
Fox SportsSouth/ 92.9 FM ESPN
Possible Starters
Mike Conley PG Reggie Jackson
Courtney Lee SG Thabo Sefolosha
Tayshaun Prince SF Kevin Durant
Zach Randolph PF Serge Ibaka
Kosta Koufos C Kendrick Perkins
2013/14 Advanced Stats
92.5 (29th) Pace 98.8 (5th)
103.1 (16th) OEff 106.4 (T-6th)
105.2 (T-23rd) DEff 98.2 (3rd)

Injury Report-

Memphis- Marc Gasol (Day-to-Day, Knee) Quincy Pondexter (Out, Foot) Tony Allen (Out, Wrist)

Oklahoma City- Kevin Durant (Day-to-Day, Wrist) WILL PLAY

For the OKC perspective, check out Welcome to Loud City.

The Memphis Grizzlies have been playing their best basketball since the storied four game sweep of California as of late, pushing the Spurs to the brink while defeating two teams with winning records in Phoenix and Atlanta. Marc Gasol participated in his first full practice yesterday, making updating his injury status from "Out" to "Day-to-Day" the best part of the week so far. The offense is clicking, the bench is playing consistently well and the roster appears to be gelling under the leadership of Head Coach Dave Joerger and star players Mike Conley and Zach Randolph.

Momentum is a funny thing. The Grizzlies were down and out just a little less than a month ago at 10-15 after a loss to the Dallas Mavericks. Injuries were crippling, frustrations were boiling over in Grizz Nation and all seemed lost as talk of tanking began among some fans and was discussed on this very site. A month later, the Grizzlies are on the opposite, and more positive, end of a momentum swing. Others are beginning to be affected by injury as the Grizzlies get healthier, and the impending return of Marc Gasol makes a run at the playoffs very believable.

Belief in this team will only continue to grow if they find a way to knock off Western Conference power Oklahoma City. They will certainly have their hands full with Kevin Durant, even though he will be playing for the Thunder tonight with an injured wrist, so he may be limited. No Westbrook and a weakened Durant certainly hurts your chances at winning, but the Thunder are well coached and disciplined in their system. They will not not go down easily.

Three keys to building more momentum with another win tonight...

Defend from the Outside In

Oklahoma City, in its 28 wins this season, shoots 48% from the floor and 36% from the three point line. Here is their team shot chart in wins.

Okc_win_shot_chart_medium

Impressive, especially from beyond the arc and mid-range. Now, here is OKC's shot chart in their losses, in which they shoot 42% overall and 29% from the three point line.

Okc_shot_chart_loss_medium

The Thunder shoot roughly the same in the paint in wins as they do in losses. The drastic drop off is in the mid-range and perimeter shooting. While Serge Ibaka has developed his offensive game, outside of him the Thunder really do not have a scoring threat that scares you down low. The strength of this Thunder team is in their wings; if you give up the inside some and force them into tough mid-range jumpers or contested threes, you improve your chances of victory drastically.

Be Glass Eaters

By the same token, one of the most drastic drop offs for the Grizzlies in wins compared to losses this season is the rebound differential. In wins, the Grizzlies grab up 47 rebounds, including 35 defensive rebounds, which is above the league average. In losses, however, the Grizzlies only grab 40 rebounds, 27 of which being defensive, which is below the league average.

Memphis has to attack the glass. It can't only be the bigs, either; one wing every defensive possession needs to go gather up the ball, especially on long rebounds. Holding the Thunder to one possession consistently will be key toward a Memphis victory.

Take Advantage of Your Game

According to PACE, Memphis plays one of the slowest styles in the NBA, while OKC plays one of the fastest. Oklahoma City wants to get out and run, wants to get early shots in possessions and force their opponents into mistakenly trying to play their style.

Memphis needs to play true to their style and dominate the glass to beat the Thunder.

The Grizzlies need to make sure that they do not fall into this trap. The Grizzlies are a tough match-up historically for the Thunder because of their physicality inside and and their ability to take advantage of turnovers. Memphis needs to make sure that they play to their strengths and that they stay true to their game. Get inside, penetrate and kick for three point opportunities, rebound the basketball and defend, all while doing it within your rhythm. Make OKC play to your strengths by controlling possessions and playing well off of screens and picks.

The Prediction

Even if Durant isn't 100%, this game is going to be close. Serge Ibaka and Nick Collison will likely create problems for Zach Randolph with their length and athleticism, and Mike Conley will have his hands full with Sixth-Man of the Year contender Reggie Jackson. However, the Grizzlies bench will rise to the occasion, using their energy and explosiveness to end the Thunder.

Memphis 101, Oklahoma City 96

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior users will need to choose a permanent username, along with a new password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

I already have a Vox Media account!

Verify Vox Media account

Please login to your Vox Media account. This account will be linked to your previously existing Eater account.

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior MT authors will need to choose a new username and password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join Grizzly Bear Blues

You must be a member of Grizzly Bear Blues to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Grizzly Bear Blues. You should read them.

Join Grizzly Bear Blues

You must be a member of Grizzly Bear Blues to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Grizzly Bear Blues. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9347_tracker