GBB Community 2014 NBA Mock Draft: Orlando Magic Pick #4

The Magic are up next, looking to build their young core into a dynasty. With the big 3 of Wiggins, Embiid, and Parker off the board, who will Orlando select?

Other Picks: #1#2#3#4#5#6#7#8
Team and Draft Order Representative GM Player Selected
#1 Cleveland Cavaliers Chris Faulkner Andrew Wiggins
#2 Milwaukee Bucks Kwhittington Joel Embiid
#3 Philadelphia 76ers KellyMelvina Jabari Parker
Magic current projected starting 5

PG Jameer Nelson
SG Victor Oladipo
SF Arron Afflalo
PF Tobias Harris
C Nikola Vucevic

The truth is, outside of Vucevic, the Magic are kind of a strange amalgamation of parts.  Their most consistent player, Arron Afflalo, is a shooting guard but their most promising young player is Victor Oladipo and he really is a 2 also.  Trade rumors have swirled around Afflalo but Orlando also desperately needs shooting, and Afflalo is the only legitimate 3 point threat on their roster. Tobias Harris is another promising young player, but he's a SF/PF tweener who can't shoot either.  Kyle O'Quinn had very good per-minute stats (13 points, 11 rebounds, 1.2 steals, 2.7 blocks per 36 minutes) and slowly got more playing time as the season wore on but confusingly never consistently got starter minutes.

PG Jameer Nelson, who seemingly has been in Orlando since the advent of the Epcot Center, has a nonguaranteed $8 million on the books for 2014-15 and seems quite possible to be let go, which would leave a big hole at PG.  Even if he is back, he's declining and they need a point guard for the future.

As a team, Orlando was about average in defensive efficiency (17th) but was not very good in rebound rate (23rd), and positively terrible on offense (29th in offensive efficiency, ahead of only Philadephia).  Orlando was tied with Memphis for 19th in the league in 3 point shooting percentage as well.

Team Needs

Point guard
Power forward
Shooting

Orlando Pinstriped Post's Big Board

1. Joel Embiid, C
2. Andrew Wiggins, SF
3. Jabari Parker, SF
4. Dante Exum, G
5. Julius Randle, PF
6. Noah Vonleh, PF
7. Marcus Smart, G
8. Aaron Gordon, PF

The Buzz

Marcus Smart reportedly has visited with Orlando at least twice, and that seems to be unpopular on the blogosphere for one big reason: he can't shoot.  He's an excellent defender and does many other things well, but is also more of a combo guard than point guard.  Dante Exum is a hot name among Magic fans and NBA draftniks due to his length (6'6"), athleticism, and upside, being only 18 years old.  He too seems a bit more like a combo guard than a typical point guard, reportedly isn't a great shooter either, and is a much bigger mystery due to limited exposure.  Noah Vonleh, the skilled 6'10" big man out of Indiana, has a workout scheduled with Orlando also.

The Pick

With the 4th pick in the 2014 NBA Draft, the Orlando Magic select:

4) Dante Exum, PG, Australia

Orlando would love for Embiid, Wiggins, or Parker to drop to them here, but in their absence they go highest upside available.

Exum is a total mystery.  He compares himself to Derrick Rose, Russell Westbrook, and Manu Ginobili, 3 guys whose outside games are up and down but who distribute well, can get to the rim, and finish once they get there.  It doesn't alleviate the shooting problem, but perhaps Oladipo will return to the 44% 3PT form he showed in college and Orlando can find another shooter or two through free agency.  This has true boom-or-bust potential with the age and relative unscouted nature of Exum, but Orlando needs as much talent as they can get and Exum seems to be that.  Perhaps he'll remind fans of another tall point guard that used to wear the pinstripes, Memphis's own Penny Hardaway.

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