The NBA season tips off on Tuesday, with the Grizzlies playing their first game on Wednesday. If you’re looking for a little more excitement besides just cheering on the Grizz, why not put some money on it?
All season, I will pick a Grizzlies game a week for your best betting options for that game to try and put some extra money in your pocket. But, before the season starts, there’s some opportunity to cash in on some preseason props that you may not be able to get at this price, or at all once the season starts.
I’m going to break down team and player props that are available on Draft Kings – I’m going to list the Grizzlies odds and if I would put some money on them, as well as how much. I’m doing it in units – a unit is how much you would put on a normal bet – for instance, $10 is a unit, so if I say I will bet .5 units, that means $5. Not only will I break down the Grizz odds, but also give some NBA bets I like, as well as some long shots that could be worth throwing a buck or two on.
You can also listen to Justin Lewis and I break down the same bets, and give out a few more as well as some insight on them on our 3 and D podcast a few weeks ago. We will also do ‘Bet the Bear’ segments each week during the season.
Good luck y’all.
Regular Season Wins
Grizzlies: 41.5 – Over (-120 — 1 unit)
Others I like:
Pelicans: 38.5 – Under (-120 — 1 unit)
76ers: 50.5 – Under (-115 — .5 unit)
Spurs 28.5 – Over (-125 — 1 unit)
Raptors 35.5 – Over (-130 — 1 unit)
Warriors 47.5 – Over (-110 — .5 unit)
Bucks 54.5 – Over (-105 — .5 unit)
Before the preseason, I was torn on the Grizzlies number, because I felt like they are about a .500 team. But, after watching them, I have no problem putting money on the over. The Pelicans and 76ers will more than likely be without star players for a decent amount of time. I think the Bucks and Warriors numbers are way too low.
Division Straight Forecast
Mavs/Grizz (+135 – 1 unit)
Grizz/Mavs (+450 – 1 unit)
I don’t see any other way the division finishes besides these two teams at the top. I figure if you put a unit on each of these, you cover the other one you lose. If you want, throw 2 on the Mavs/Grizz, you will at least double your money.
To Make Playoffs
Grizz +110 – Yes (1 unit)
Hornets +175 – Yes (.5 unit)
Kings +380 – Yes (.5 unit)
These bets mean the teams make the playoffs, not just the play-in game. I just feel like both the Hornets and Kings are being overlooked and there’s good value on if you want to put a little on them.
East – Bucks (+390 – 1 unit) & Hawks (+1500 – .2 unit)
West – Grizz (+5000 – No bet), Warriors (+550 – .2 unit), Nuggets (+900 – .2 unit)
The Grizzlies are still a year or two away from competing for the title. Bucks could take advantage of the Nets missing Kyrie Irving. I’m just not sold on the Lakers in the West – good value on Warriors and Nuggets.
Southwest: Grizz (+350 – 1 unit)
Southeast: Hawks (+130 – .5 unit)
Just like the win total, I was a little skittish on putting money on Grizz to win the division, but now I feel they have as good of a shot as Dallas does. As for Atlanta, getting plus money on a team that made the Conference Finals, and didn’t lose anything from the year before seems like a safe bet.
Grizzlies (+10000 – .1 unit)
Warriors (+1100 – .2 unit)
Bucks (+900 – .5 unit)
Why not throw a buck on the Grizzlies? They win the title, you win $100 on a $1 bet. I’m not sold on either the Nets or Lakers who are the favorites. Give me these odds on the defending champs and the Warriors.
Coach of the Year
Taylor Jenkins (+2200 – .3 unit)
Ime Udoka (+1500 – .1 unit)
Michael Malone (+1400 – .2 unit)
Gregg Popovich (+5000 – .2 unit)
Taylor Jenkins has as good of a shot as anyone to win the Coach of the Year. If Grizz win the division and secure a top 5 playoff spot, there’s a good chance he could take it. If you’re giving me those odds on Popovich, I’m going to take them, even if the Spurs aren’t expected to do much.
DeAnthony Melton (+7500 – .1 unit)
Brandon Clarke (+8000 – None)
Jarrett Culver (+13000 – None)
Jordan Clarkson (+600 – 1 unit)
Tyler Herro (+1000 – .5 unit)
Cameron Payne (+2500 – .2 unit)
These have changed big time. 2 weeks ago, Melton wasn’t even an option, but he is the only Grizz I would bet on. I feel like Clarkson or Ingles will get it, so I’m putting my money on Clarkson. Also, hope you jumped on Herro after our podcast. It’s dropped from +2500 to +1000.
Defensive Player of Year
Dillon Brooks (+7500 – None)
Jaren Jackson Jr. (+8000 – None)
Rudy Gobert (+340 – .5 unit)
Giannis Antetokounmpo (+800 – .3 unit)
If Dillon wasn’t missing time, I’d be more inclined to put something down. Usually this award is given to one of the usual suspects.
Ja Morant (+20000 – .1 unit)
Kevin Durant (+3000 – .3 unit)
Trae Young (+2500 – .2 unit)
Bradley Beal (+275 – 1 unit)
Just like with the Grizz title odds – bet a $1 on Ja, win $200. Beal makes the most sense, but I could see the other two, along with Steph (+600) challenging for the scoring title.
Most Improved Player
Jaren Jackson Jr. (+1600 – 1 unit)
Ja Morant (+2500 – .5 unit)
Brandon Clarke (+8000 – None)
Dillon Brooks (+6000 – None)
Kyle Anderson (+15000 – None)
Michael Porter Jr. (+1000 – 1 unit)
Long Shot: Wendell Carter (+8000 – .2 unit)
A lot of Grizzlies on this one. But, if Triple J plays like he did in the preseason, these are the best odds you are going to get with him, so now is the time to invest. Michael Porter Jr. is the favorite in Vegas.
Rookie of the Year
Ziaire Williams (+6500 – None)
Cade Cunningham (+300 – 1 unit)
Jalen Green (+200 – 1 unit)
Long Shot: James Bouknight (+2800 – .1 unit)
Ziaire impressed me this preseason, but he’s not winning this. Green has surpassed Cunningham as the favorite – the smart money is one both of them.
Most Valuable Player
Ja Morant (+4500 – .1 unit)
Luka Doncic (+380 – .5 unit)
Kevin Durant (+600 – .5 unit)
Trae Young (+2000 – .2 unit)
Long Shot: Bam Adebayo (+10000 – .1 unit)
Ja is probably not going to win MVP this year, so that’s why I’m just putting a dollar, if anything on him. If you’re looking for a long-shot Nikola Jokic type for this season, I like Bam, as Miami is the favorite in their division.
Remember, it’s all about having fun, so please gamble responsibly. Also, set your own limits and stick to them.